Climate fragility risks will change the foreign policy landscape
The planet’s limited resources are under pressure. Demand for food, water, and energy is increasing. Inequality, unemployment, rapid urbanization, and environmental degradation are converging and increasingly challenge efforts to reduce poverty and increase economic development in many poor countries.
Where the impacts of climate change interact with other stresses, the combination can overburden weak states, spurring social upheaval and sometimes violent conflict. Even seemingly stable states can be pushed towards instability if the pressure is high enough or shock is too great.
In fragile regions, persistent inequality, political marginalization, and unresponsive governments can increase the potential for instability and conflict. The addition of climate impacts will multiply these pressures and strain countries’ ability to meet their citizens’ needs.
To read more, have a look at the 10 Insights report, 2020 Part I conference summary, download the background paper to the 2019 conference or visit the Climate Diplomacy website for the latest news and publications on climate change and security.
Building on the high-level political Part I of BCSC 2020 and the launch of the Global Climate Security Risk and Foresight Assessment during the event, Part II of the conference, running from September 7 to October 2, will have two main aims:
- To bring together and support the climate-security community of practice;
- To inform the Global Climate Security Risk and Foresight Assessment.
Currently there is no central venue connecting the diverse organisations, researchers and practitioners working on the impacts of climate change on international peace and security. Part II of BCSC 2020 fills this gap by bringing together the field’s various actors in one digital space to meet two strategic goals: i. share good practice on what works on the ground, and ii. help inform policy processes. It will thereby help bridge the gaps between science and policy.
The Global Climate Security Risk and Foresight Assessment aims to offer reproducible methodologies and accessible tools to all actors conducting climate-security risk assessments. For this purpose, the assessment requires input from various stakeholders and experts to ensure the tools respond to the needs of interested parties, and to facilitate the uptake of developed tools and methodologies. This is the third strategic goal of Part II of BCSC 2020.
To meet these aims, Part II will consist of open and closed sessions led by partner organisations, in addition to sessions run by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and adelphi. These webinar-style events will take place over the course of one month. The sessions’ formats will be designed to meet their specific objectives and the target audience, but will follow these guidelines:
- Closed sessions will focus on the inputs needed to ensure the success of the Global Climate Security Risk and Foresight Assessment, centring scientific expertise, discussing scenario development and further aspects which are not immediately relevant to the wider community but are required to ensure the project’s quality and organisational support. These small-group discussions will be run by partner organisations and PIK and adelphi.
- Public sessions are broader in scope, majority partner run and cover overarching issues such as gender and climate-security or risk informed planning. They aim to engage the entire community.
The first part of the 2020 Berlin Climate and Security Conference took place online on June 23 and 24, 2020, bringing together leading figures from governments, international organisations, the scientific community, the private sector and civil society through two sessions on the state of the art of climate and security and a high-level political segment. After launching the Berlin Call for Action in 2019 and working to increase the momentum for decisive action to address climate-related drivers of conflict and instability, this is the second iteration of this event.
You can access the calendar of Part II of the Berlin Climate and Security Conference 2020, running from September 7 to October 2, here.
Further information and registration
Registration is already open for many of the events, with registration information given as part of the session description. Please visit here for further information on registration and the sessions.